The newspaper Hel Bo published a poll at the end of the week that shows a slight advantage for Yahav over his competitor - Yaakov Borovsky
You can read the survey In this link
When I analyze the numbers, a very interesting picture emerges:
If we agree that the survey reflects the situation in Haifa (of course not everyone agrees...)
There may be a situation of voter leakage in the direction of Borovski, of all those who wish to change the government in the city and consider this poll to be reliable and recognize "waste of votes" if they vote for a hopeless candidate.
In such a situation we reach equality between the blocks.
This is where it comes into play The percentage of the vote.
We know that the percentage of votes among the opponents of the government significantly exceeds the percentage of votes among the supporters of the government.
And here the question arises as to how big the gap in the percentage of the vote will be:
If the percentage of the vote will be significant in favor of the opponents of the government and also if the voters make a last-minute migration to the one who has a real chance to replace the government, then we have a decision here in favor of Borovsky.
If the percentage of votes between Yahav's supporters and Borovski's supporters is the same, Yahav will continue for another term.
Just my opinion